Warning: Contains icy spoilers for Game of Thrones Season 8, episode 1.

Nobody can confidently predict the ending of Game of Thrones. But there are several things that seem, at this point, to be almost inevitable.

Top of the list of near-guarantees? Jon and Daenerys’ relationship is not going to end well. I’m not just talking about the fact they’re related, either — I mean one of them, at least, is definitely not going to survive the show’s ending.

There’s plenty of evidence to back this up — Jon’s already technically dead; George R.R. Martin has said the ending of the story will be “bittersweet”; his past stories about dragon-riders point towards a battle that will likely lead to the deaths of most involved; the cast were all apparently in tears reading the final script, suggesting at least a few of our favourites will probably snuff it. At this point, the evidence just keeps stacking up.

Anyway, following Jon and Daenerys’ post-dragon-riding scene in the first episode of Season 8, Reddit user u/fanofthrones5555 shared the following connection with a moment from Season 3, Episode 5.

Sorry, Dany — the last time Jon Snow took his partner to a private place in the icy North, things didn’t end well.

Still, if I had to make a guess, I don’t think the show will follow the same pattern twice. 

This time I think it’ll be Jon Snow’s luck that runs out.

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